The 5 Most Common Misconceptions People Have About Retirement (五種關於退休的常見謬誤)
Many people think they know what retirement will be like, but are met with surprises once they’re there.
It's important to know what to expect financially and non-financially to have a great retirement.
Today we're discussing the most common retirement misconceptions to help you navigate yours more confidently
You’ll learn:
❌ Why you shouldn’t rely on dual income if you have a spouse
✅ How risk aversion may be unfairly damaging your portfolio return
🏡 What your home’s role is as a retirement asset
Learn the tips & strategies to get the most out of life with your money.
⏱ Timestamps ⏱
0:00 Intro
0:35 Dual income
2:40 Stock market risk aversion
6:55 Accounting for inflation
8:49 Considering your home a retirement asset
10:43 Not having a job
12:15 Outro
a lot of people think they know what retirement's going to be like
but then they're met with all kinds of surprises once they're actually there
in today's video
I'm going to share with you the five most common misconceptions about retirement
so that you can better plan for yours
hey everybody I'm James Canole
founder of root financial
and I'm here to teach you to get the most out of life with your money
going into retirement you don't want surprise
it's at least not bad surprises
you want to know at least one basic standpoint
what can you expect financially as well as non-financially
well in today's video
I'm going to share with you five things that people commonly get wrong about retirement
so you can avoid making these same mistakes when it comes to your plan
one of the first mistakes people make when it comes to planning for their retirement on the financial side
is they think they can rely upon two incomes forever
what do I mean by this
well let's assume that a couple wants to spend eight thousand dollars per month in retirement
let's also assume that both couples both spouses have three thousand dollars per month coming in from Social Security
well in this case
if 6 000 is coming in from Social Security
eight thousand is what they want
only two thousand needs to come from their portfolio
so if they had about five hundred thousand dollars generating five percent per year on income
that would about cover the gap
but what happens in the event that one spouse predeceases the other
Well Social Security in that case would be cut in half
so now all of a sudden
if you want to live on eight thousand dollars per month
you don't have six thousand coming in to help support that
you have three thousand per month coming in
now granted some of the expenses will probably go away
but they won't be cut in half
so now all that's sudden
you're in this difficult position if one spouse passes away
your portfolio needs to do a lot more leg work
and you can't just ask your portfolio to fill the gap there
it's going to be bound by certain safe and sustainable withdrawal rates
so if you're going into retirement expecting to have two incomes forever
and if one of those incomes is unexpectedly cut short
it's going to be a very difficult thing for your plan
you're going to have to make some major adjustments
so as you're looking at retirement
plan for contingencies
it's not fun to talk about
but how can you protect yourself
how can you protect your surviving spouse
make sure that you have an understanding that we can start with two incomes
but if something happens to one spouse first
what would be our fallback plan
do we make sure we have more saved in retirement assets to cover the shortfall when that happens
do we make sure there's some expenses that we could potentially cut in that event if something happens
would you sell the home and downsize to cut expenses if something happens
you need to make sure there's a plan
because when the spouses both think we can rely upon these incomes forever
they both live the same number of days
that's right
but if they don't there's going to be a shortfall
so make sure you're planning for that ahead of time
2:39
the second misconception people have about retirement is that the stock market is the biggest risk to their success
now this is understandable
when you look at the stock market
who doesn't have a story about a relative or a co-worker someone who wanted to retire
but then there was a major bear market
and they had to keep working much longer
well in some cases that's true
in some cases is due to improper management of funds
but here's what I want you to focus on
let's actually look at the risk of the stock market and compare that to what most of us might think of as
risk-free
so one month T-bill
which is essentially a bond that the government issues for one month
it will pay you interest
a small amount of interest for holding that bond for one month
well if we go back over the last 80 years and say what was the worst ever 12 month return on the S&P 500
so we'll use that as a benchmark for the stock market
versus what was the worst ever return on a one month T-Bill
the differences are astounding
the worst one year return on the S&P 500 was
it was down 43 percent
so if you have a million dollars in your portfolio
one year later
that million dollars is worth five hundred and seventy thousand dollars
if it's all invested in the S&P 500
it's a very difficult thing to stomach
it's a very difficult thing to go through and to recover from
now compare that to a T-bill
the worst ever one year return on a T-bill over the last 80 years
was returned 0.01 percent
so positive outcome
now it was a negligible amount of interest
but it was still a positive outcome
so when you're comparing these two
it's easy to see why people say
hey the stock market stuff's super risky
there was a year where I lost 43 percent of my money in the stock market
whereas with a T-bill
my worst ever experience was gaining 0.01 percent
it's not gonna make me rich
but it's certainly not gonna make me poor in that year
so of course
this seems more risk-free
well that's only after one year
the hard part about understanding retirement is
retirement's much longer than one year
you might have a 20 30 plus year retirement
so we have to look at big picture here
let's zoom out what was the worst ever 20-year return on the S&P 500 over that time frame
so over the last 80 years
all the different rolling 20-year time periods in the midst of that range
what was the worst case scenario in the S&P 500
well the worst case scenario in the S&P 500 was
it gained 4.8 percent over 20 years
now what I mean by that is 4.8 percent on average per year
and that was starting April of 2000
so if you put all of your money into the stock market in the S&P 500 on April of 2000
you only averaged 4.8 percent per year for the next 20 years
now this isn't a very good return
because historically the index has done more than double that
but over your 20-year time period
that's your worst case outcome
doesn't start to seem as bad
and we see that the worst case scenario for a T-bill over 20 years was a return of 1.14% per year
so what we start to see is
in the short term
the T-Bill is much safer than the stock market
but when we start to expand that to 20 years
the worst case scenario now granted the future anything could happen
but for just look in the past 80 years for perspective
the worst case scenario for the U.S stock market over the last 80 years
returned more than four times what a T-bill would have done in the same instance
so it's 4.8 percent for the S&P 500 compared to 1.14 per year for a T-bill
what does that look like practically speaking
well if you invest a hundred thousand dollars into the S&P 500 in its worst 20-year period over the last 80 years
that one hundred thousand dollars grew to about 255,400 dollars
so a pretty decent return
had you invested into T-bills instead because you're concerned about what the stock market does in the short term
those T-bills would be worth 125,400
so 155,000 of growth and change invest in the market
compared to twenty five thousand dollars of growth invested in T-bills
you can start to see what is actually more risky
and the short term it's absolutely the stock market
but if you have a long enough time horizon
now all of a sudden
the thing that's going to return the least is probably the thing that's most risky
so how do we make sure that we're viewing risk properly in the right context
6:51
and this ties into the third mistake or misconception that people have about retirement
is when they're planning for retirement they're ignoring the impact of inflation
now if you look at inflation historically
it's been around three percent per year
it's been much higher here in the last year or two
but historically it's been about three percent
so let's look at our last example here to see how this risk plays out
we looked at what if you invested a hundred thousand dollars into the S&P 500
what if you invest a hundred thousand dollars into one month T-bills
and we saw that one gave you about 255,000 in the worst case scenario for the S&P 500
and one gave you about a hundred and twenty five thousand dollars
if you would invest in T-bills and their worst 20-year time period over the last eight decades
now it seems like both of those had positive outcomes until you factor in inflation
7:37
if we just assume an inflation rate of three percent
then your hundred thousand dollars would need to go to a hundred and eighty thousand dollars
just to offset the impact of inflation
so not to grow your money
not to grow your real net worth
but just to keep up with inflation
so now when we compare 180,000 to T-bills that only grew to a hundred and twenty five thousand dollars if you invested a hundred thousand and their worst ever 20-year time period
you can start to see there's a loss there
there's a nominal return
but there's a real loss
now as you apply that to the rest of your plan
over the course of a 30-year retirement
you can expect your living expenses to go up two and a half times
if there's a three percent inflation rate
meaning if you need a hundred thousand dollars to live on in year one of retirement
and expenses stay the same
but go up with inflation you would need close to two hundred and fifty thousand dollars by your final year of retirement
simply to maintain what a hundred thousand dollars could purchase today
so when people ignore that
what they do is they plan for an income amount
but if that income amount is not adjusted for inflation
your purchasing power is declining every single year
so you cannot ignore the impact of inflation if you want to build a proper retirement plan
8:50
the fourth mistake people make about retirement is they consider their home a retirement asset
now this is not a video about whether real estate's a good investment or not
that's a different topic for a different day
this is a video all about understanding the role that your home would play in your retirement portfolio
it's about is your home a great retirement asset not an asset in general
now what makes something a good retirement asset
well
it's something that can create income for you either through dividends or interest
and actually create an income or appreciating in value so you can sell it and live on the proceeds
now unless you have an intention of selling your home
your home is not creating income for you
now granted this is a different story if you rent it out
or if you do some type of reverse mortgage
or refinancing or something else
but I'm going to table those for now
if you just look at your home as a wonderful place to live in and to stay
it's not a retirement asset
I don't care if your home is appreciating by more than the stock market every year
if you never plan to sell or if you never plan to somehow monetize that
it's not a retirement asset
retirement's all about generating cash flow
how do you generate income that's sufficient to meet your expenses
if you have a home
even if it's worth two three five ten million dollars
that's not generating income
it's not a retirement asset
in fact I would argue it's a liability
the greater the value of your home
the higher your property taxes
in general the higher the maintenance costs
that's adding to the expense side of the equation in retirement not the income side
so when I hear people talking about
oh I'm going to retire and it's going to be wonderful and I've got a great net worth
but look at their balance sheet
and the majority of their net worth is in their home
that's wonderful
but how are you going to generate income to meet your needs
we can plan for your home as part of your overall net worth
as part of your legacy strategy
or part of your retirement strategy
if you intend to sell it or somehow monetize the equity in the home somehow
but if it's not going to
then it's not part of your retirement plan
10:44
and then finally the fifth misconception people have about retirement is that they'll love not having a job
now here's the interesting thing about having a job
you probably will love not having any deadlines anymore
not having to wake up early to go to work
not having to report to that boss you don't really like
however there's two types of freedoms
there's the freedom from and there's freedom to
when you retire you'll have freedom from
freedom from those deadlines
freedom from those co-workers
freedom from doing those things you don't really want to do
the harder part though is the freedom to
you have the freedom to do whatever you want
to do what activities you want
to spend time with who you want
to spend your days doing only things that you want to do
to a lot of people
that's very scary
so all I think about is the freedom from having to work anymore
if you're not also thinking about freedom to
and how do you create your routine
and create your structure
and create your intentional life
you're probably not going to love not having a job as much as you thought
in fact if you don't get this right
you may just be aimless
so you may wander throughout retirement
not really knowing what to do with your days after having freedom from your job
so make sure you understand the other side of freedom
the freedom to pursue what you want to do
I don't care how financially squared away you are
if you don't have that piece right
you're not going to enjoy your retirement
so yes
it's good to have the freedom from
but create that freedom to
and have an understanding of what you're going to use that freedom to do
so to me that last point is the most important one
the biggest misconception people have going into retirement
you need to make sure you have a plan for what you're going to do
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